Sam Altman said in 2024 that AGI could happen as soon as 2025.

https://dianawolftorres.substack.com/p/is-agi-just-around-th...

And that's not his only bold claim about AGI.

Maybe not having it but being really close to that and knowing how to build it. "We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it. We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output of companies."

Hasn't the happened? Plenty of companies are working and experimenting with agents.

I'm still waiting for the "materially change the output of companies" part.