Most financial advisors tell you to keep a rainy day fund with a 3-6 month runway.
Given what's been happening in the tech industry and the economy at large, I now keep a 1-year emergency fund in a money-market fund at 4% (Fidelity SPAXX). I'm probably losing out on some growth (SP500 grew 11% over the past year, despite the massive drop in April 2025), but at least I have liquidity in case I get laid off.
That's the kind of game I feel I have to play these days.
I think OP is speaking about people who have 5x or more than their current salary in equities, where even a 50% temporary drop in assets will have no meaningful effect in lifestyle (and a long-term 50% drop in S&P would be apocalyptic, bigger fish to fry).
I think that's a bet that is contingent upon not getting laid off for more than a year during a period when there is 20-30% drawdown. If that happens, then any growth differential between equities and SPAXX's 4% is going to be wiped out -- in which case it was better to have stayed with SPAXX which offers liquidity and modest but stable growth at near zero risk.
It's not a sure win rule.
A better strategy is to hedge (bet maybe 3 months of your 1 year emergency runway), but that requires some acumen.
>A better strategy is to hedge (bet maybe 3 months of your 1 year emergency runway), but that requires some acumen.
Yeah that’s what I was suggesting when I said you don’t need keep your entire 1 year emergency fund in low risk investments (assuming you have much more than a year of runway).
Umm, my search engine says US inflation was 4.7 percent in 2021, 8 in 2022, 4.12 in 2023, 2.9 in 2024, 2.4 this year. Will you choose this in the 4+ percent years too?
Did you also check 7 day yields (interest) in those years? SPAXX is currently 4%. But was 5% in previous years (it holds US treasuries and has a very low expense ratio and holds its NAV)
Given what's been happening in the tech industry and the economy at large, I now keep a 1-year emergency fund in a money-market fund at 4% (Fidelity SPAXX). I'm probably losing out on some growth (SP500 grew 11% over the past year, despite the massive drop in April 2025), but at least I have liquidity in case I get laid off.
That's the kind of game I feel I have to play these days.