but that's calculations per second per dollar rather than transistors per chip like Moore.
More came up with the law in 1965 and thought it would run 10 years till 1975 so it's had a good run if it's petering out now.
The compute per sec per dollar is a longer trend ~1900 that will likely keep on.
Gemini thinks: "The machine that began the long-term trend often cited as "128 years of Moore's Law" was Herman Hollerith's tabulating machine, created for the 1890 U.S. Census"
Great article, I'm a cofounder of Clearspace and think about this a lot.
> I'm an adult, I know how to circumvent these limits, and I will if motivation is low.
It's impossible to build systems that perfectly prevent you from doing this, but it is possible to build systems that can perfectly deter you from doing it. You could set up one - for example - that texts your spouse if you delete it. Or charges your bank account. Or whatever other doomsday device you want to rig up.
> Time limits don't affect the underlying addiction. You don't quit smoking by only smoking certain hours of the day.
Yeah but if you could encode cigarettes to ween you off of them by force, that'd be a big help. Also cigarettes don't have any real utility, so cold turkey is a reasonable strategy. Unfortunately the social media platforms have real utility, so a guardrail strategy makes more sense.
> The companies that build these apps have tens of thousands of really smart people (and billions of dollars) trying to get me hooked and keep me engaged. The only way to win this game isn't by trying to beat them (I certainly can't), but by not playing.
When it's all said and done, someone is going to build the right set of digital environment modification tooling that does beat them. It has to be possible, the internet is intrinsically customizable
You can't take the same approach on iOS but to Apple's credit, they do a great job with user privacy with their Screen Time permission. Apps with that permission get the ability to restrict other apps on the phone without ever knowing what they are. They can even report data back to the user without ever knowing that data.
Imagine two different password strength standards:
1. Just a 4 digit numeric PIN like `1981`
2. A 20 character upper/lower/numeric/special-character password like `qmd1tkf7mwa.PQB0qrz$`
--
The PIN has lower entropy and is therefore a lot easier to brute force.
I haven't calculated this stuff myself -- I just used Wolfram Alpha -- but it looks like the PIN would take <1 second to brute force, while the 20 character password would take 7.6 * 10^25 years. [1] [2]
It's up to you. In your Apple devices under Screen time there's a "Share across devices" setting. If that's on, it'll aggregate. If not, it'll just report the screen time from a single entity