It’s true, especially with the “vibe” movement happening in real-time on X… “you can just do things” — I am building ai app layers b2c/b2b and while I do have an ml technical co-founder, I am largely scaling this with AI from strategy, visuals to coding. For example, with Claude created a framework for my company to scale, then built an AI powered dashboard in cursor around it as the command center. At scale we don’t need a team of more than ~5 to reach 7 fig MRR.
They laid off 30 people in less than 24 hours of this announcement? That sounds like those people were already getting laid off and this was a convenient cover
This is only tracking revenue. The numbers are meaningless without expenses. I'm sure they make a sizable profit margin, but conflating revenue with profit is sensationalism.
In 2021, Chicago Parking Meters LLC had $136M revenue minus $50M of various expenses, leaving $86M of net operating income.
But of that $50M, $15M is "amortization of intangible asset", and I think "intangible asset" refers to the right to operate the meters. So it's effectively only $35M of "running-the-business" expenses, leaving $101M of effective profit.
um this one is printing money. this is a monopoly. if they are not "showing" profits, it would be because they are trying to be shady or they are so inefficiently run
> CPM does not – and never has – set pay station parking rates. The City retains exclusive authority to determine and establish rates, set hours of operation, and place, add or remove metered spaces. The initial five‐year rate schedule, which ended in 2013, was approved by the City Council to align with rates comparable with other large U.S. cities. Prior to the agreement, parking rates in Chicago were much lower than the national average. Seventy percent of meters had not seen an increase in 20 years.
Doesn’t the word “recouped” imply the profit was at least enough to recover the investment cost (and millions more in this case), or am I missing something?
The word “recouped” was written by a journalist. The same journalist uses the word “revenues” as the source of recouping, not “profits”. They also use such strange constructions as:
> private investors have already extracted $2.1 billion from the deal, in part by refinancing three times.
What’s strange about that? The owners boost cash flow by jacking up parking rates, create a higher value for their asset, and take out a new loan against it. The original loan gets paid off and the owners get to take out the new equity based on the higher valuation.
Well, they might have to grease the wheels more than once. There's nothing to stop the city from setting a maximum rate on parking, or tickets, or recovery in court or during vehicle registration. Changing a city, county, or state ordinance/law or simply not enforcing rules is the purview of the state and mostly the executive.
I guess what I'm saying is that these are long term grifts and the city could deal with it (the fleecing of their voters), but chooses not to, because they know where their bread gets buttered.
They replaced all the meters with the boxes and made an app. They also pay for all the meter maids even though the ticket revenue goes to the city. So there are definitely some expenses, but yea margins are surely crazy.
I haven’t checked, but I suspect the return is less than they would have gotten just sticking the money in an S&P 500 index fund over the same 14 years. Still, the risk is lower.
Even if true today, very unlikely to be true in the long run. From the numbers provided in the title, this deal is like an effectively risk free 16% yielding bond, except the revenues will also grow with inflation.
And it's definitely not true on a risk adjusted or cash flow basis. Also these deals can be (and probably was) levered to levels which equity investments cannot. Borrow at SOFR+x% and earn on the spread between that value and 16%. Extremely profitable and uncommon carry trade
If everyone invested in the S&P 500 we would all be rich. Companies should raise capital just to buy S&P 500 index fund so we can finally have universal prosperity.
Except the profit can also be reinvested. That kind of free cash flow is pretty insane - and will help dollar cost average any equity investments during down markets, compared to just lump sum investing $1.5B and letting it ride.
