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The frustrating thing is that the math and AI support in the python ecosystem is arguably the best. These happen to also be topics where performance is critical and where you want things to be tight.

c++ has great support too but often isn't usable in communities involving researchers and juniors because it's too hard for them. Startup costs are also much higher.

Ans so you're often stuck with python.

We desperately need good math/AI support in faster languages than python but which are easier than c++. c#? Java?


It is kind of ironic that this is now the Zeitgeist, while in the 1990's my university used to teach C++ to first year students, and I learned it as high school student with Turbo C++ 1.0 for MS-DOS, about a year after it was made commercially available, later acquiring Turbo C++ 1.5 for Windows 3.1 with student discount.


The toll was far greater than just that of conflicts. If you look at increased mortality during the period you'll see excess death in the millions. Wiki says 3.4 million: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dissolution_of_the_Soviet_Un...

In absolute terms it's one of the harshest death tolls in the last decades. It's far from a joke. Though for completeness, AIDS was also going on there and it's hard to tell from the stats the proportion of impact


Yes the current period is reminiscent of the Mao period in more than one way. You've got blind loyalty and optimism by the followers, unwillingness to listen to critism, anti-intellectualism, attempts to purge aspects of culture and dissappearing disliked people to faraway prisons.

It's not gone nearly as far as in that period, but we ought to be careful not to get closer. When information countering government policy is suppressed, the mistakes keep growing bigger until the consequences become so grave they can no longer be ignored.


The numbers appear to be based on the trade deficit alone, not on any differences in import duties etc.


That is correct. It was empircally proven here: https://www.ft.com/content/c4f9c7f6-0753-4458-840e-bcde1b74a...

To quote Alex Scaggs of FT:

    Take the US’s goods trade deficit with any particular country, and divide it by the total amount of goods imported from that country. Cut that percentage in half, and there’s the US’s “reciprocal” tariff rate.
All countries tested against this theory are correct within 1-2 percent.


you can just read the methodology where they published it here: https://ustr.gov/issue-areas/reciprocal-tariff-calculations


Now somebody factor in Services and rerun the numbers.


This is interesting. I don't know the details of Trump's tariff policy, but if this is correct, it would follow that the policy should have some mechanism to reduce the tariffs as the trade imbalance is reduced.


Not sure why? It’s an irrational policy not based on any kind of sense. I don’t think I’d expect it to be logically consistent. Besides, what do you do with a country where US is a net exporter? Provide subsidies for imports?

It’s all drunk monkeys driving a train… there is no economic theory to expect consistency from.


Unless they think that because it came out of an Excel formula, there's a logic behind it - and honestly, I wouldn't be shocked if these folks have that insight.

> Besides, what do you do with a country where US is a net exporter? Provide subsidies for imports?

In this instance, I believe the thought pattern is: "we're being smart here".


They’re even adding Greek letters, very intelligent. https://x.com/Brendan_Duke/status/1907741651172311353


I'll be damned, I had no idea and I still got it right.

Once people accept that this administration is very much like the Russian regime, where everyone is the type of person playing to an aesthetic, you see this stuff coming miles away.

This is what these sorts of people would do.


It’s not “irrational.” It’s crude, but it’s based on a logic that, on average, trade deficits should generally reduce to zero. And I strongly suspect this is about our large, diversified trade partners (EU, China) and is simply being imposed across the board for appearances.


There is no “logic” that any two country pairs should have an equal trade balance.

“Belief” or “dogma” or even “idea” would work, but there’s no logic in that claim.

There’s not even a policy goal. If the intent is to convert the US from a net importer to neutral or even a net exporter, it means our cost of production needs to be about average. Which means our populace’s quality of life needs to be about average; wealthy countries are more expensive to produce in. Mix in the supposed interest in economic and social liberty, and you’ve got a country trying to destroy its own wealth in the name of controlling what its freedom-loving citizens buy

There is no logic here. It’s drunk monkeys all the way down.


Imagine the classical triangular trade. Three countries can have entirely balanced trade, yet each country has a 100% trade deficit with another country. Everyone benefits, and no one runs a trade deficit. Throw a huge tariff in and a country’s trade, imports and exports, will collapse.


> a logic that, on average, trade deficits should generally reduce to zero.

1. Why do you believe this is true?

2. Why do you believe that 0 trade deficits are a good thing?


You're right I think it's MAX(10%,(imports-exports)/imports) as a general tariff plus targeted reciprocal (in some cases, not all)


You would see many more distorted galaxies if this kind of effect would contribute a lot of illusory galaxies


There have been a bunch of very powerful non-nuclear explosions. Perhaps a part of an exploding ship such as in the halifax explosion or the Princess Irene?


Where is the rest of the exploded ship, in that case?


By what definition? It's certainly possible that some kind of societal bell curve or other distribution can just keep getting wider without meaningful movement of the relative positions of individuals. I don't understand why you assume the most likely behavior is regression to the mean. Especially on short terms that seems weird to assume


Who is assuming a short term?


Is there a good place to find redshift data and distance estimates for many galaxies?


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